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Atlanta Braves vs. St. Louis Cardinals

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Atlanta Braves vs. St. Louis Cardinals" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Kalshi vs Polymarket.

Atlanta Braves vs. St. Louis Cardinals 60% 1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5 52% 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 50% Extra Innings 50% Volume: $174K Liquidity: $308K Closes: 18 Jul 2026
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Atlanta Braves vs. St. Louis Cardinals

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 60% 40% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 60% 40% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Atlanta Braves vs. St. Louis Cardinals60%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.552%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.550%
Extra Innings50%
O/U 5.547%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.546%
Spread -1.542%
O/U 6.538%
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.533%
O/U 7.525%
O/U 8.521%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.520%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.513%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.512%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.58%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.57%
NRFI0%
O/U 4.50%

Market context

The Atlanta Braves vs. St. Louis Cardinals prediction market currently prices this outcome at 60% YES. In the upcoming MLB game between the Atlanta Braves and St. Louis Cardinals, scheduled for July 10 at 8:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "Atlanta Braves" if the Atlanta Braves win the game. This…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Atlanta Braves vs. St. Louis Cardinals at 60% for "Atlanta Braves vs. St. Louis Cardinals".

Atlanta Braves vs. St. Louis Cardinals 60% Other 40%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $174K.

Methodology

This page reviews Atlanta Braves vs. St. Louis Cardinals across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi vs Polymarket, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Jordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction ReporterandChris ReedChris ReedPolitical Forecasting Editor

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