Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
94% | 6% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
94% | 6% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 207.5 | 94% |
| O/U 209.5 | 93% |
| O/U 211.5 | 90% |
| O/U 213.5 | 88% |
| 1Q O/U 49.5 | 88% |
| 1H O/U 105.5 | 87% |
| O/U 215.5 | 86% |
| 1H O/U 107.5 | 84% |
| O/U 217.5 | 83% |
| 1H O/U 109.5 | 83% |
| O/U 219.5 | 80% |
| 1H O/U 111.5 | 78% |
| Jrue Holiday: Points O/U 9.5 | 77% |
| O/U 221.5 | 76% |
| 1H O/U 113.5 | 73% |
| O/U 223.5 | 72% |
| Deni Avdija: Points O/U 19.5 | 71% |
| O/U 225.5 | 69% |
| 1H O/U 115.5 | 68% |
| Trail Blazers 1H O/U 56.5 | 67% |
| O/U 227.5 | 66% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 66% |
| Lakers 1H O/U 57.5 | 65% |
| Austin Reaves: Points O/U 19.5 | 63% |
| 1H O/U 117.5 | 62% |
| 4Q O/U 57.5 | 62% |
| O/U 229.5 | 61% |
| Luka Dončić: Points O/U 24.5 | 60% |
| O/U 231.5 | 57% |
| Austin Reaves: Points O/U 14.5 | 57% |
| 1H O/U 119.5 | 57% |
| 1Q O/U 67.5 | 57% |
| Lakers 1H O/U 59.5 | 56% |
| Luka Dončić: Points O/U 29.5 | 55% |
| Ja Morant: Assists O/U 5.5 | 55% |
| Damian Lillard: Points O/U 14.5 | 54% |
| O/U 233.5 | 53% |
| Luka Dončić: Points O/U 9.5 | 53% |
| 1Q O/U 61.5 | 53% |
| Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 1.5 | 52% |
| Austin Reaves: Points O/U 9.5 | 51% |
| Damian Lillard: Points O/U 29.5 | 51% |
| Deni Avdija: Points O/U 29.5 | 51% |
| Luka Dončić: Points O/U 14.5 | 51% |
| Walker Kessler: Points O/U 9.5 | 51% |
| Walker Kessler: Points O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Donovan Clingan: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Trail Blazers O/U 105.5 | 51% |
| Team to Score First | 50% |
| Odd/Even Score | 50% |
| Overtime? | 50% |
| Race to 10 | 50% |
| Race to 20 | 50% |
| Race to 30 | 50% |
| Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 121.5 | 50% |
| Austin Reaves: Points O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Damian Lillard: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Damian Lillard: Points O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Deni Avdija: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Deni Avdija: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Deni Avdija: Points O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| Donovan Clingan: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Donovan Clingan: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Ja Morant: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Ja Morant: Points O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Luka Dončić: Points O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Luka Dončić: Points O/U 49.5 | 50% |
| Matisse Thybulle: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Matisse Thybulle: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Quentin Grimes: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Quentin Grimes: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Quentin Grimes: Points O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili: Points O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Walker Kessler: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Walker Kessler: Points O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Ziaire Williams: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Ziaire Williams: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Ziaire Williams: Points O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Austin Reaves: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Austin Reaves: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Austin Reaves: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Austin Reaves: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Damian Lillard: Points O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Ja Morant: Points O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Jrue Holiday: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Jrue Holiday: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Jrue Holiday: Points O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Jrue Holiday: Points O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Toumani Camara: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Toumani Camara: Points O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Damian Lillard: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Damian Lillard: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Damian Lillard: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Donovan Clingan: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Donovan Clingan: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Donovan Clingan: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Donovan Clingan: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Donovan Clingan: Rebounds O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Ja Morant: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Ja Morant: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Jrue Holiday: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Jrue Holiday: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Luka Dončić: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Luka Dončić: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Luka Dončić: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Quentin Grimes: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Quentin Grimes: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Toumani Camara: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Toumani Camara: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Toumani Camara: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Walker Kessler: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Walker Kessler: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Walker Kessler: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Walker Kessler: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Walker Kessler: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Ziaire Williams: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ziaire Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Ziaire Williams: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Damian Lillard: Assists O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Ja Morant: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ja Morant: Assists O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Luka Dončić: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Luka Dončić: Assists O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Luka Dončić: Assists O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Quentin Grimes: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Quentin Grimes: Assists O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Austin Reaves: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Austin Reaves: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Austin Reaves: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Damian Lillard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Damian Lillard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Damian Lillard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Damian Lillard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Deni Avdija: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Deni Avdija: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Austin Reaves: Points O/U 44.5 | 50% |
| Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Ja Morant: Assists O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Ja Morant: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Jrue Holiday: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Jrue Holiday: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Jrue Holiday: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Luka Dončić: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Luka Dončić: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Luka Dončić: 3-Pointers Made O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Luka Dončić: 3-Pointers Made O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Matisse Thybulle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Matisse Thybulle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Matisse Thybulle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Matisse Thybulle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Toumani Camara: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Toumani Camara: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Ziaire Williams: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ziaire Williams: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Ziaire Williams: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Austin Reaves: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Austin Reaves: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Damian Lillard: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Damian Lillard: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Damian Lillard: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Ja Morant: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ja Morant: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ja Morant: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Luka Dončić: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Matisse Thybulle: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Matisse Thybulle: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Ziaire Williams: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ziaire Williams: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ja Morant: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Ziaire Williams: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Donovan Clingan: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Donovan Clingan: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Walker Kessler: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Walker Kessler: Blocks O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Walker Kessler: Blocks O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Toumani Camara: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 65.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 73.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 51.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 63.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| Lakers O/U 107.5 | 50% |
| Lakers O/U 109.5 | 50% |
| Lakers O/U 111.5 | 50% |
| Lakers O/U 113.5 | 50% |
| Lakers O/U 115.5 | 50% |
| Lakers O/U 117.5 | 50% |
| Lakers O/U 121.5 | 50% |
| Lakers O/U 123.5 | 50% |
| Lakers O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Lakers O/U 127.5 | 50% |
| Lakers O/U 129.5 | 50% |
| Lakers O/U 131.5 | 50% |
| Trail Blazers 1H O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| Trail Blazers O/U 123.5 | 50% |
| Lakers 1H O/U 65.5 | 50% |
| Trail Blazers O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Trail Blazers 1H O/U 64.5 | 50% |
| Trail Blazers O/U 127.5 | 50% |
| Trail Blazers O/U 129.5 | 50% |
| Trail Blazers O/U 107.5 | 50% |
| Trail Blazers O/U 109.5 | 50% |
| Trail Blazers O/U 111.5 | 50% |
| Trail Blazers O/U 113.5 | 50% |
| Trail Blazers O/U 115.5 | 50% |
| Trail Blazers O/U 117.5 | 50% |
| Trail Blazers 1H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| Damian Lillard: Points O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| Donovan Clingan: Points O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Lakers 2H O/U 63.5 | 50% |
| Trail Blazers 2H O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| Lakers 2H O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| Lakers 2H O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Lakers 2H O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Lakers 2H O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| Trail Blazers 2H O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| Trail Blazers 2H O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| Trail Blazers 2H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| Trail Blazers 2H O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| Matisse Thybulle: Steals O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Toumani Camara: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Toumani Camara: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Matisse Thybulle: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Matisse Thybulle: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Matisse Thybulle: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Toumani Camara: Steals O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Donovan Clingan: Blocks O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Luka Dončić: Steals O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Jrue Holiday: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Scoot Henderson: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Quentin Grimes: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Scoot Henderson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Scoot Henderson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Scoot Henderson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Scoot Henderson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 5.5 | 49% |
| Deni Avdija: Points O/U 34.5 | 49% |
| Luka Dončić: Points O/U 44.5 | 49% |
| Matisse Thybulle: Points O/U 14.5 | 49% |
| Toumani Camara: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| Walker Kessler: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 49% |
| Damian Lillard: Assists O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Trail Blazers 1H O/U 60.5 | 49% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Lakers | 48% |
| O/U 235.5 | 48% |
| Luka Dončić: Assists O/U 7.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 47% |
| Jrue Holiday: Assists O/U 1.5 | 47% |
| Austin Reaves: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 47% |
| Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 47% |
| Luka Dončić: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 47% |
| Toumani Camara: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 47% |
| 2Q O/U 60.5 | 47% |
| Lakers 1H O/U 61.5 | 47% |
| Spread -1.5 | 46% |
| Spread -2.5 | 46% |
| 1H Moneyline | 46% |
| Damian Lillard: Assists O/U 3.5 | 46% |
| Walker Kessler: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 46% |
| Austin Reaves: Points O/U 24.5 | 45% |
| Donovan Clingan: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 45% |
| Ja Morant: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 45% |
| Luka Dončić: Steals O/U 0.5 | 45% |
| Lakers O/U 119.5 | 45% |
| Jrue Holiday: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 44% |
| Quentin Grimes: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 44% |
| Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 5.5 | 44% |
| Deni Avdija: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 44% |
| Jrue Holiday: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 44% |
| Austin Reaves: Steals O/U 0.5 | 44% |
| O/U 237.5 | 43% |
| Jrue Holiday: Assists O/U 3.5 | 43% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 43% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 43% |
| Spread -2.5 | 42% |
| Spread -3.5 | 42% |
| Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 3.5 | 42% |
| 1H O/U 123.5 | 42% |
| 1Q O/U 63.5 | 42% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 42% |
| Spread -4.5 | 41% |
| Ziaire Williams: Points O/U 14.5 | 41% |
| Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 3.5 | 41% |
| Ja Morant: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 41% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 41% |
| Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 40% |
| Luka Dončić: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 40% |
| Luka Dončić: Assists O/U 5.5 | 40% |
| Luka Dončić: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 39% |
| Quentin Grimes: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 39% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 39% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 39% |
| Spread -5.5 | 38% |
| O/U 239.5 | 38% |
| Austin Reaves: Points O/U 34.5 | 38% |
| Austin Reaves: Points O/U 39.5 | 38% |
| Toumani Camara: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 38% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 38% |
| Jrue Holiday: Steals O/U 2.5 | 38% |
| Spread -4.5 | 37% |
| Ja Morant: Points O/U 19.5 | 37% |
| 1H O/U 125.5 | 37% |
| 2Q O/U 62.5 | 37% |
| Lakers 1H O/U 63.5 | 37% |
| Jrue Holiday: Steals O/U 0.5 | 36% |
| O/U 241.5 | 35% |
| Deni Avdija: Points O/U 24.5 | 35% |
| Austin Reaves: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 35% |
| Spread -6.5 | 34% |
| Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 34% |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 34% |
| Toumani Camara: Points O/U 9.5 | 33% |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 33% |
| 2Q O/U 64.5 | 33% |
| Ziaire Williams: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 32% |
| Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 4.5 | 32% |
| Damian Lillard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 32% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 32% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 32% |
| Spread -6.5 | 31% |
| Spread -31.5 | 31% |
| Spread -7.5 | 31% |
| O/U 243.5 | 31% |
| Damian Lillard: Points O/U 19.5 | 31% |
| Walker Kessler: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 31% |
| Matisse Thybulle: Steals O/U 1.5 | 30% |
| 1H O/U 127.5 | 30% |
| Collin Sexton: Points O/U 9.5 | 29% |
| Walker Kessler: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 29% |
| Ja Morant: Points O/U 14.5 | 29% |
| Jrue Holiday: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 29% |
| Luka Dončić: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 29% |
| Spread -8.5 | 28% |
| O/U 245.5 | 28% |
| Luka Dončić: Points O/U 32.5 | 28% |
| Walker Kessler: Points O/U 12.5 | 28% |
| Ziaire Williams: Points O/U 8.5 | 28% |
| Donovan Clingan: Points O/U 9.5 | 28% |
| Ja Morant: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 28% |
| Deni Avdija: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 28% |
| Matisse Thybulle: Points O/U 5.5 | 28% |
| Scoot Henderson: Points O/U 9.5 | 28% |
| Damian Lillard: Assists O/U 4.5 | 27% |
| Quentin Grimes: Points O/U 9.5 | 27% |
| Austin Reaves: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 27% |
| Donovan Clingan: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 27% |
| Spread -9.5 | 26% |
| Austin Reaves: Points O/U 23.5 | 26% |
| Luka Dončić: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 26% |
| Matisse Thybulle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 26% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 26% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 26% |
| Walker Kessler: Rebounds O/U 10.5 | 26% |
| Spread -8.5 | 25% |
| O/U 247.5 | 25% |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 25% |
| Damian Lillard: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 25% |
| Toumani Camara: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 25% |
| Collin Sexton: Points O/U 10.5 | 25% |
| Matisse Thybulle: Points O/U 6.5 | 24% |
| Luka Dončić: Points O/U 34.5 | 24% |
| Toumani Camara: Points O/U 14.5 | 24% |
| Donovan Clingan: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 24% |
| 1H O/U 129.5 | 24% |
| Quentin Grimes: Assists O/U 2.5 | 23% |
| Quentin Grimes: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 23% |
| Jrue Holiday: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 22% |
| Ja Morant: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 22% |
| Quentin Grimes: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 22% |
| Toumani Camara: Steals O/U 1.5 | 22% |
| Spread -11.5 | 21% |
| O/U 249.5 | 21% |
| Austin Reaves: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 21% |
| Damian Lillard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 21% |
| Ziaire Williams: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 21% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 21% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 21% |
| Spread -10.5 | 20% |
| Austin Reaves: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 20% |
| Luka Dončić: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 20% |
| 1H O/U 131.5 | 20% |
| O/U 251.5 | 19% |
| Walker Kessler: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 19% |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 18% |
| Damian Lillard: Assists O/U 5.5 | 18% |
| Ja Morant: Assists O/U 7.5 | 18% |
| Jrue Holiday: Steals O/U 1.5 | 18% |
| Spread -13.5 | 17% |
| Donovan Clingan: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 17% |
| Luka Dončić: Steals O/U 2.5 | 17% |
| Spread -12.5 | 16% |
| Toumani Camara: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 16% |
| Luka Dončić: Assists O/U 9.5 | 16% |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 16% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 16% |
| O/U 253.5 | 15% |
| Luka Dončić: Points O/U 39.5 | 15% |
| Luka Dončić: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 15% |
| 1Q O/U 69.5 | 15% |
| Jrue Holiday: Assists O/U 5.5 | 14% |
| Quentin Grimes: Assists O/U 3.5 | 14% |
| Toumani Camara: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 14% |
| Spread -14.5 | 13% |
| Spread -15.5 | 13% |
| O/U 255.5 | 12% |
| Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 7.5 | 12% |
| Luka Dončić: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 12% |
| Quentin Grimes: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 12% |
| 1H O/U 135.5 | 12% |
| 1H Spread -12.5 | 11% |
| Spread -16.5 | 10% |
| Spread -17.5 | 10% |
| 1H O/U 133.5 | 10% |
| 1Q O/U 71.5 | 10% |
| Spread -19.5 | 9% |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 9% |
| Ja Morant: Assists O/U 9.5 | 9% |
| 1H Spread -15.5 | 9% |
| 1H O/U 137.5 | 9% |
| Spread -18.5 | 8% |
| Toumani Camara: Points O/U 19.5 | 8% |
| Luka Dončić: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 8% |
| Damian Lillard: Assists O/U 7.5 | 8% |
| Jrue Holiday: Assists O/U 7.5 | 8% |
| Luka Dončić: Assists O/U 11.5 | 7% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 7% |
| Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 6% |
| Ja Morant: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 6% |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 6% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 6% |
| 1H Spread -19.5 | 6% |
| Spread -20.5 | 5% |
| Spread -21.5 | 5% |
| Spread -23.5 | 5% |
| Donovan Clingan: Points O/U 19.5 | 5% |
| Quentin Grimes: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 5% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 5% |
| Spread -22.5 | 4% |
| Spread -24.5 | 3% |
| Deni Avdija: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 3% |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 3% |
| Spread -25.5 | 2% |
| Spread -29.5 | 2% |
| Spread -27.5 | 1% |
Market context
Trail Blazers vs. Lakers. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 44% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-10-28T03:00:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.
Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.
Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $4.5M.
Methodology
We track Trail Blazers vs. Lakers across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi vs Polymarket trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%206%2066%20A%2026%2026%200%200%201%2058%2066%22%20fill%3D%22%23E6B98D%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Ccircle%20cx%3D%2232%22%20cy%3D%2226%22%20r%3D%2222%22%20fill%3D%22%23F5CBA7%22%2F%3E%3Crect%20x%3D%2210%22%20y%3D%224%22%20width%3D%2244%22%20height%3D%2214%22%20rx%3D%227%22%20fill%3D%22%2322d3ee%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Crect%20x%3D%228%22%20%20y%3D%2218%22%20width%3D%228%22%20%20height%3D%2218%22%20rx%3D%224%22%20fill%3D%22%2322d3ee%22%20opacity%3D%220.7%22%2F%3E%3Crect%20x%3D%2248%22%20y%3D%2218%22%20width%3D%228%22%20%20height%3D%2218%22%20rx%3D%224%22%20fill%3D%22%2322d3ee%22%20opacity%3D%220.7%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E){kind=small}
and%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%206%2066%20A%2026%2026%200%200%201%2058%2066%22%20fill%3D%22%23E6B98D%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Ccircle%20cx%3D%2232%22%20cy%3D%2226%22%20r%3D%2222%22%20fill%3D%22%23F5CBA7%22%2F%3E%3Crect%20x%3D%2214%22%20y%3D%224%22%20width%3D%2236%22%20height%3D%228%22%20rx%3D%224%22%20fill%3D%22%2322d3ee%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E){kind=small}
Trade Trail Blazers vs. Lakers on Kalshi vs Polymarket
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →