What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi vs Polymarket trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.

Club Necaxa vs. FC Juárez — Odds Compared | Kalshi Vs Polymarket 2026

Name: Club Necaxa vs. FC Juárez
Start: 2026-10-10T16:45:14.000Z
End: 2026-10-24T01:00:00.000Z

Platform comparison

Platform	YES odds	NO odds	Fee	KYC	Settlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker)	100%	0%	0% (USDC on-chain)	No-KYC up to $1,500	USDC, auto via UMA oracle	View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com	100%	0%	0%	Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU	USDC, on-chain	View on Polymarket →
Kalshi kalshi.com	—	—	Up to 7% per trade	US-only, KYC required	USD	View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange betfair.com	—	—	2-5% commission	Full KYC from first trade	GBP / EUR	View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets manifold.markets	—	—	Play-money (mana)	None — play-money	Mana (no cash-out)	View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

Outcome	Probability
Draw	100%
Club Necaxa	0%
FC Juárez	0%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Club Necaxa vs. FC Juárez. This event is for the upcoming Liga MX game, scheduled for Friday, October 23, 2026 between Club Necaxa and FC Juárez.

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Draw at 100% for "Club Necaxa vs. FC Juárez".

Draw 100% Other 0%

The order book shows 100% YES / 0% NO for this match. Compared to ESPN-listed sportsbook lines, Polymarket typically reflects faster market adjustment since participants are self-selected sophisticated traders. Trading volume: $216K.

Team Statistics

Interceptions

5 DINAMOZAGREB / 10 NEC

EffectiveClearance

29 DINAMOZAGREB / 29 NEC

TotalClearance

29 DINAMOZAGREB / 29 NEC

Fouls

11 DINAMOZAGREB / 18 NEC

YellowCards

1 DINAMOZAGREB / 2 NEC

RedCards

0 DINAMOZAGREB / 0 NEC

Match Events

23' 🟨 Yellow Dion Drena Beljo DINAMOZAGREB

25' ⚽ Goal Clement Bischoff NECNIJMEGEN

33' ⚽ Goal Dion Drena Beljo DINAMOZAGREB

37' ⚽ Goal Dion Drena Beljo DINAMOZAGREB

44' 🟨 Yellow Noé Lebreton NECNIJMEGEN

45' ⚽ Goal Bryan Linssen NECNIJMEGEN

54' ⚽ Goal Bryan Linssen NECNIJMEGEN

80' ⚽ Goal Tjaronn Chery NECNIJMEGEN

Methodology

We track Club Necaxa vs. FC Juárez across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?: A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?: Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?: Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?: On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi vs Polymarket trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?: The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.

Jordan LeeSports Prediction Reporterand

Chris ReedPolitical Forecasting Editor

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Club Necaxa vs. FC Juárez

Platform comparison

Outcome probabilities

Market context

Live Data & Statistics

Team Statistics

Match Events

Methodology

Resolution & payout

FAQ

Trade Club Necaxa vs. FC Juárez on Kalshi vs Polymarket

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