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LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group

Five-platform snapshot of "LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Match Winner 79% Game 1 Winner 72% Game 2 Winner 72% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 65% Volume: $101K Liquidity: $235K Closes: 29 Jul 2026
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LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
79% 21% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
79% 21% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner79%
Game 1 Winner72%
Game 2 Winner72%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon65%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon65%
Any Player Quadra Kill53%
Any Player Penta Kill53%
First Blood in Game 1?53%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?53%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?52%
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon42%
O/U 2.5 Games39%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor28%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor28%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%

Market context

LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group — current market-implied probability: 79%. This market refers to the LoL match between T1 and KT Rolster in the LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group, initially scheduled for July 29 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "T1" if T1 win the match aga…

Methodology

This page reviews LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi vs Polymarket, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi vs Polymarket trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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