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LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

Five-platform snapshot of "LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Match Winner 81% Game 1 Winner 73% Game 2 Winner 73% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 58% Volume: $227K Liquidity: $956K Closes: 17 Jul 2026
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LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
81% 19% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
81% 19% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner81%
Game 1 Winner73%
Game 2 Winner73%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon58%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?57%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?57%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon56%
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)54%
Any Player Quadra Kill52%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Any Player Penta Kill51%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon48%
Any Player Quadra Kill45%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor44%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor44%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors43%
Any Player Quadra Kill43%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors43%
O/U 2.5 Games40%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?40%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?39%
First Blood in Game 2?31%
First Blood in Game 1?31%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%

Market context

Market consensus: 81% chance of lol: bilibili gaming vs dplus kia (bo3) - esports world cup playoffs. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the LoL Quarterfinal 4 match between Bilibili Gaming and Dplus KIA in the Esports World Cup Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 17 at 9:30AM ET. This mark…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi vs Polymarket, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi vs Polymarket. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi vs Polymarket trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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