France vs. England - More Markets

Platform comparison

Market context

The FIFA World Cup quarter-final between France and England kicks off on 18 July at 5:00 PM ET, with the prediction market “More Markets” currently implying a 28% probability that the match will feature additional betting outcomes beyond the standard result. This contract likely refers to ancillary markets such as total goals, cards, corners, or first scorer, which are active in major sportsbooks for this fixture.

Historically, high-stakes World Cup quarter-finals between top-tier nations like France and England tend to generate significant ancillary market activity. In their 2022 clash, over 2.5 goals was priced at +105, with France winning 2–0, while total cards and corners also saw heavy volume [4][8]. The current 28% implied probability suggests the market is cautious about whether these supplementary markets will be particularly volatile or settled, contrasting with sportsbooks that list over 2.5 goals at +115 and both teams to score at 10/11, indicating stronger confidence in goal activity [1][5].

Traders should monitor pre-match team news, especially regarding Kylian Mbappé and Harry Kane, whose scoring form heavily influences total goals and scorer markets [5]. Any late changes to starting lineups or tactical shifts could alter the likelihood of ancillary outcomes. Additionally, watch for in-game developments such as early goals or disciplinary actions, which often drive live betting on cards and corners. Recent previews confirm France as slight favourites to advance at 7/5, with England at 2/1, reinforcing the expectation of a competitive, open match [1][3].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi vs Polymarket, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.