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Valorant: VARREL vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omega

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Valorant: VARREL vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omega" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Kalshi vs Polymarket.

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 62% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 62% Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 62% Match Winner 53% Volume: $80K Liquidity: $234K Closes: 30 Jul 2026
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Valorant: VARREL vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omega

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 62% 38% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 62% 38% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.562%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.562%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.562%
Match Winner53%
Map 1 Winner52%
Map 2 Winner52%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
O/U 2.5 Games49%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: DetonatioN FocusMe (-2.5) vs VARREL (+2.5)40%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: VARREL (-2.5) vs DetonatioN FocusMe (+2.5)40%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: VARREL (-2.5) vs DetonatioN FocusMe (+2.5)40%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.539%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.539%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: VARREL (-2.5) vs DetonatioN FocusMe (+2.5)39%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.538%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: DetonatioN FocusMe (-2.5) vs VARREL (+2.5)37%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: DetonatioN FocusMe (-2.5) vs VARREL (+2.5)37%
Map Handicap: VARREL (-1.5) vs DetonatioN FocusMe (+1.5)28%
Map Handicap: DFM (-1.5) vs VARREL (+1.5)22%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, valorant: varrel vs detonation focusme (bo3) - vct pacific group omega stands at 62% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Valorant match between VARREL and DetonatioN FocusMe in the VCT Pacific Group Omega, initially scheduled for July 30 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resol…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi vs Polymarket, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi vs Polymarket trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Jordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction ReporterandChris ReedChris ReedPolitical Forecasting Editor

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