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LoL: LNG Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

Comparison of odds and platforms for "LoL: LNG Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Kalshi vs Polymarket.

Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? 59% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? 56% Game Handicap: IG (-1.5) vs LNG Esports (+1.5) 54% First Blood in Game 2? 53% Volume: $89K Liquidity: $482K Closes: 2 Aug 2026
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LoL: LNG Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
59% 41% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
59% 41% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?59%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?56%
Game Handicap: IG (-1.5) vs LNG Esports (+1.5)54%
First Blood in Game 2?53%
Any Player Penta Kill52%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon51%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?45%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?43%
O/U 2.5 Games39%
Game 1 Winner28%
Game 2 Winner28%
First Blood in Game 1?27%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Match Winner20%

Market context

LoL: LNG Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana — current market-implied probability: 59%. This market refers to the LoL match between LNG Esports and Invictus Gaming in the LPL Group Nirvana, initially scheduled for August 2 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "LNG Esports" if LNG E…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi vs Polymarket, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi vs Polymarket. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi vs Polymarket trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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