Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| ITF Gentofte: Lucia Cortez Llorca vs Johanne Christine Svendsen | 100% |
| Completed Match | 100% |
| ITF Gentofte: Lucia Cortez Llorca vs Johanne Christine Svendsen Set 2 Winner | 100% |
| ITF Gentofte: Lucia Cortez Llorca vs Johanne Christine Svendsen Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| ITF Gentofte: Lucia Cortez Llorca vs Johanne Christine Svendsen Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| ITF Gentofte: Lucia Cortez Llorca vs Johanne Christine Svendsen Match O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| ITF Gentofte: Lucia Cortez Llorca vs Johanne Christine Svendsen Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| ITF Gentofte: Lucia Cortez Llorca vs Johanne Christine Svendsen Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| ITF Gentofte: Lucia Cortez Llorca vs Johanne Christine Svendsen Match O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| ITF Gentofte: Lucia Cortez Llorca vs Johanne Christine Svendsen Match O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| ITF Gentofte: Lucia Cortez Llorca vs Johanne Christine Svendsen Set 1 Winner | 0% |
| ITF Gentofte: Lucia Cortez Llorca vs Johanne Christine Svendsen Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| ITF Gentofte: Lucia Cortez Llorca vs Johanne Christine Svendsen Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| ITF Gentofte: Lucia Cortez Llorca vs Johanne Christine Svendsen Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| ITF Gentofte: Lucia Cortez Llorca vs Johanne Christine Svendsen Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, itf gentofte: lucia cortez llorca vs johanne christine svendsen stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Lucia Cortez Llorca and Johanne Christine Svendsen in the ITF Women Gentofte, originally scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. T…
Methodology
This page reviews ITF Gentofte: Lucia Cortez Llorca vs Johanne Christine Svendsen across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi vs Polymarket, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi vs Polymarket. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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