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Dota 2: MOUZ vs Vici Gaming - More Markets

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Dota 2: MOUZ vs Vici Gaming - More Markets" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? 100% Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1? 100% First Blood in Game 1? 95% Ends in Daytime 90% Volume: $649K Liquidity: $304K Closes: 12 Jul 2026
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Dota 2: MOUZ vs Vici Gaming - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?100%
First Blood in Game 1?95%
Ends in Daytime90%
Ends in Daytime90%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks90%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 2?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 75.5 in Game 2?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 85.5 in Game 2?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 80.5 in Game 2?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 90.5 in Game 2?90%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 95.5 in Game 2?48%
Both Teams Beat Roshan10%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks10%
Any Player Ultra Kill10%
Any Player Rampage10%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1?10%
Game 1 Winner0%
Game 2 Winner0%

Market context

The Dota 2: MOUZ vs Vici Gaming - More Markets prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. More markets for the upcoming Dota 2 best-of-two series between MOUZ and Vici Gaming, scheduled for July 12, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET.

Methodology

This page reviews Dota 2: MOUZ vs Vici Gaming - More Markets across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi vs Polymarket, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi vs Polymarket. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi vs Polymarket trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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