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Dota 2: KW vs RE.Arise (BO3) - EPL Masters Group B

Five-platform snapshot of "Dota 2: KW vs RE.Arise (BO3) - EPL Masters Group B" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Game Handicap: RE.Arise (-1.5) vs KW (+1.5) 100% Any Player Ultra Kill 100% Ends in Daytime 91% Both Teams Destroy Barracks 91% Volume: $186K Liquidity: $343K Closes: 26 Jul 2026
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Dota 2: KW vs RE.Arise (BO3) - EPL Masters Group B

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game Handicap: RE.Arise (-1.5) vs KW (+1.5)100%
Any Player Ultra Kill100%
Ends in Daytime91%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks91%
Ends in Daytime91%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks90%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan10%
Game 1 Winner0%
Game 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Any Player Rampage0%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of dota 2: kw vs re.arise (bo3) - epl masters group b. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Dota 2 match between KW and RE.Arise in the EPL Masters Group B, initially scheduled for July 26 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "KW" if KW wi…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi vs Polymarket, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi vs Polymarket. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi vs Polymarket trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

Trade Dota 2: KW vs RE.Arise (BO3) - EPL Masters Group B on Kalshi vs Polymarket

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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