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Counter-Strike: SINQU vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - Elisa BreakOut Series #1 Playoffs

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Counter-Strike: SINQU vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - Elisa BreakOut Series #1 Playoffs" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Map Handicap: BCG (-1.5) vs SINQU (+1.5) 100% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BC.Game Esports (-6.5) vs SINQU (+6.5) 100% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Volume: $94K Closes: 1 Aug 2026
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Counter-Strike: SINQU vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - Elisa BreakOut Series #1 Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map Handicap: BCG (-1.5) vs SINQU (+1.5)100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BC.Game Esports (-6.5) vs SINQU (+6.5)100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: BC.Game Esports (-6.5) vs SINQU (+6.5)50%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BC.Game Esports (-6.5) vs SINQU (+6.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BC.Game Esports (-12.5) vs SINQU (+12.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BC.Game Esports (-9.5) vs SINQU (+9.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BC.Game Esports (-3.5) vs SINQU (+3.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, counter-strike: sinqu vs bc.game esports (bo3) - elisa breakout series #1 playoffs stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Semifinal 2 match between SINQU and BC.Game Esports in the Elisa BreakOut Series #1 Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 1 at 8:00AM ET…

Methodology

This page reviews Counter-Strike: SINQU vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - Elisa BreakOut Series #1 Playoffs across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi vs Polymarket, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi vs Polymarket. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

Trade Counter-Strike: SINQU vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - Eli… on Kalshi vs Polymarket

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