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Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs paiN (BO3) - RES Showdown South America Playoffs

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs paiN (BO3) - RES Showdown South America Playoffs" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Kalshi vs Polymarket.

Map 2 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: paiN (-3.5) vs largadosypelados (+3.5) 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: paiN (-6.5) vs largadosypelados (+6.5) 100% Volume: $213K Liquidity: $491K Closes: 11 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs paiN (BO3) - RES Showdown South America Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: paiN (-3.5) vs largadosypelados (+3.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: paiN (-6.5) vs largadosypelados (+6.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: paiN (-9.5) vs largadosypelados (+9.5)100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: paiN (-3.5) vs largadosypelados (+3.5)90%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.590%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: largadosypelados (-3.5) vs paiN (+3.5)90%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.590%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: paiN (-3.5) vs largadosypelados (+3.5)10%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: paiN (-6.5) vs largadosypelados (+6.5)10%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: paiN (-9.5) vs largadosypelados (+9.5)10%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.510%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.51%
Map 1 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
Map Handicap: paiN (-1.5) vs largadosypelados (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: paiN (-12.5) vs largadosypelados (+12.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.50%
Map Handicap: LDP (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)0%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: paiN (-6.5) vs largadosypelados (+6.5)0%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%

Market context

The Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs paiN (BO3) - RES Showdown South America Playoffs prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Semifinal 1 match between largadosypelados and paiN in the RES Showdown South America Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 10 at 4:00PM ET. This market will…

Methodology

We track Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs paiN (BO3) - RES Showdown South America Playoffs across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi vs Polymarket. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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