T20 Series Ireland vs India: Ireland vs India

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The underlying event is the first T20 International between Ireland and India, played on 26 June 2026 at Civil Service Cricket Club in Belfast. Ireland defeated India by 34 runs, scoring 182/9 while restricting India to 148 in 18.5 overs[1][5]. This result has already been finalized, making the 100% YES crowd-implied probability for Ireland the winner a factual certainty rather than a speculative forecast[1].

Historically, when a match concludes before the settlement window closes, prediction markets lock in at the confirmed outcome, mirroring how sportsbooks adjust lines post-result[1]. Comparable cases from past T20 series show that once a result is published by ESPNcricinfo, implied probabilities converge to 100% for the declared winner, eliminating divergence between analyst consensus and market pricing[1][6]. No meaningful odds divergence exists here because the event is settled.

Traders should monitor the official match summary on ESPNcricinfo to confirm the tiebreak mechanism if applicable, though Ireland’s outright win removes ambiguity[1]. Key dependencies include the finalisation of the scorecard and any on-field rulings such as Super Overs, which are treated as ordinary wins per the market terms[1]. Recent coverage notes Ireland’s bowling strength and India’s batting struggles, factors that directly shaped the outcome[6]. With the result confirmed, no further catalysts will alter the settlement.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.