Independiente Santa Fe vs. Once Caldas - More Markets

Platform comparison

Market context

Independiente Santa Fe and Once Caldas meet in Colombia Primera A, with the prediction-market contract on “more markets” currently pricing at **0% YES**, which is far below what historical head-to-head data would usually imply. Recent comparison sites show Santa Fe with the stronger overall record in the fixture, typically around 17 wins to Once Caldas’s 10 across 35 meetings, with draws a meaningful share as well[2][10], while ESPN lists both sides as compact, low-scoring teams with similar goal-conceded figures and moderate possession profiles[16]. That kind of matchup history normally supports a live, event-specific price rather than a zero bid, so the market is effectively saying there is no credible path to the listed “more markets” outcome under current information.

For traders, the key catalysts are the final team news, the exact market definition used by the exchange, and whether any sportsbook has moved on late injury or rotation information before kick-off. The match was scheduled for 2 August at 9:00 PM ET, and live match pages from SofaScore, Flashscore and ESPN indicate the fixture is on the calendar and being tracked across platforms[1][16][17]. Because this is a bundled “more markets” contract rather than a straight match result, the main dependency is whether additional sub-markets are listed or voided, and whether any official line-up release, postponement, or market-specification update changes settlement conditions. Where sportsbook implied probability and analyst consensus are aligned, a 0% market often flags either a structural mismatch in contract wording or a stale price rather than a true no-chance outcome[16][18].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi vs Polymarket, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi vs Polymarket. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi vs Polymarket trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.