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Henan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC - More Markets

Five-platform snapshot of "Henan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC - More Markets" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Henan FC (-2.5) 100% O/U 0.5 100% O/U 1.5 100% O/U 2.5 100% Volume: $196K Liquidity: $710K Closes: 17 Jul 2026
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Henan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Henan FC (-2.5)100%
O/U 0.5100%
O/U 1.5100%
O/U 2.5100%
O/U 3.5100%
1st Half O/U 0.5100%
1st Half O/U 1.5100%
Henan FC O/U 0.5100%
Henan FC O/U 1.5100%
Henan FC O/U 2.5100%
Henan FC 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
Henan FC 1st Half O/U 1.5100%
Henan FC (-1.5)99%
O/U 4.581%
2nd Half O/U 0.578%
Henan FC 2nd Half O/U 0.577%
Henan FC 2nd Half O/U 1.572%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half51%
Qingdao Hainiu FC O/U 2.550%
2nd Half O/U 1.550%
2nd Half O/U 2.550%
Qingdao Hainiu FC 2nd Half O/U 0.550%
Qingdao Hainiu FC 2nd Half O/U 1.549%
O/U 5.546%
Qingdao Hainiu FC O/U 1.534%
Both Teams to Score31%
Qingdao Hainiu FC O/U 0.531%
Qingdao Hainiu FC (-1.5)1%
Qingdao Hainiu FC (-2.5)1%
Qingdao Hainiu FC 1st Half O/U 0.51%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
Qingdao Hainiu FC 1st Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of henan fc vs. qingdao hainiu fc - more markets. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. More markets for the Chinese Super League game, scheduled for July 17 at 7:35 AM ET.

Methodology

This page reviews Henan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC - More Markets across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi vs Polymarket, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi vs Polymarket. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi vs Polymarket trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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