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Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - More Markets

Five-platform snapshot of "Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - More Markets" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Game 2 Winner 100% First Blood in Game 2? 91% Ends in Daytime 90% Any Player Ultra Kill 90% Volume: $1.0M Liquidity: $98K Closes: 12 Jul 2026
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Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 2 Winner100%
First Blood in Game 2?91%
Ends in Daytime90%
Any Player Ultra Kill90%
Any Player Rampage90%
Ends in Daytime90%
Both Teams Beat Roshan90%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?90%
Both Teams Beat Roshan10%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks10%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks10%
Any Player Ultra Kill10%
Any Player Rampage10%
First Blood in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 2?10%
Game 1 Winner0%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?0%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - More Markets. More markets for the upcoming Dota 2 best-of-two series between PARIVISION and Team Spirit, scheduled for July 12, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi vs Polymarket, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Jordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction ReporterandChris ReedChris ReedPolitical Forecasting Editor

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