Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 25.5 | 100% |
| O/U 27.5 | 100% |
| O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 17.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 20.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 26.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| Minnesota O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| Minnesota O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Minnesota O/U 17.5 | 100% |
| Minnesota O/U 20.5 | 100% |
| Minnesota 1H O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| Minnesota 1H O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| Minnesota 1H O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| 1H Moneyline | 100% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 100% |
| O/U 31.5 | 98% |
| O/U 43.5 | 84% |
| O/U 37.5 | 82% |
| O/U 33.5 | 81% |
| O/U 35.5 | 77% |
| Minnesota O/U 23.5 | 76% |
| O/U 45.5 | 75% |
| O/U 39.5 | 73% |
| O/U 41.5 | 73% |
| Minnesota vs. Washington | 68% |
| O/U 47.5 | 68% |
| Washington O/U 21.5 | 67% |
| O/U 49.5 | 58% |
| O/U 51.5 | 58% |
| Spread -3.5 | 56% |
| Spread -4.5 | 55% |
| O/U 53.5 | 54% |
| Spread -0.5 | 52% |
| Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| Spread -15.5 | 50% |
| Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| Spread -18.5 | 50% |
| Spread -23.5 | 50% |
| Spread -24.5 | 50% |
| Spread -26.5 | 50% |
| Spread -27.5 | 50% |
| Spread -30.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Washington O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Minnesota 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Minnesota 2H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Minnesota 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Washington 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Washington 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Washington 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Minnesota O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Washington O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Minnesota vs. Washington: Total Touchdowns O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Minnesota vs. Washington: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Minnesota vs. Washington: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Minnesota Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Minnesota Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Washington Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Minnesota Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Washington Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Washington Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Minnesota Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Minnesota Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Minnesota Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Washington Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Washington Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Washington Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Minnesota Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Minnesota Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Minnesota Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Washington Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Washington Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Minnesota Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Minnesota Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Minnesota Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Washington Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Washington Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Washington Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Washington Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Minnesota 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Washington 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Minnesota 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Minnesota Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Washington 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Minnesota Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Minnesota Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Washington Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Washington Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Washington Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Minnesota Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Minnesota Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Minnesota Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Washington Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Washington Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Washington Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Minnesota Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Minnesota Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Minnesota Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Washington Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Washington Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Washington Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Minnesota vs. Washington: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Minnesota vs. Washington: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Minnesota vs. Washington: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Minnesota O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Spread -14.5 | 49% |
| Spread -17.5 | 49% |
| Spread -20.5 | 49% |
| Spread -13.5 | 47% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 46% |
| O/U 57.5 | 45% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 44% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 42% |
| O/U 59.5 | 41% |
| Washington O/U 27.5 | 40% |
| Spread -7.5 | 39% |
| Spread -10.5 | 38% |
| O/U 63.5 | 37% |
| O/U 65.5 | 36% |
| O/U 55.5 | 32% |
| Spread -8.5 | 29% |
| Spread -1.5 | 27% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 24% |
| Spread -2.5 | 22% |
| Washington O/U 33.5 | 22% |
| Washington O/U 30.5 | 20% |
| Spread -3.5 | 16% |
| Spread -4.5 | 16% |
| O/U 61.5 | 16% |
| Spread -5.5 | 14% |
| Spread -9.5 | 12% |
| Spread -6.5 | 11% |
| Spread -10.5 | 6% |
| Spread -7.5 | 5% |
| Spread -11.5 | 5% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Washington 1H O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Washington 1H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Washington 1H O/U 18.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 0% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Minnesota vs. Washington. In the upcoming college football game between Minnesota and Washington, scheduled for September 26 at 11:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Minnesota" if Minnesota win the game. This market will re…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $1.3M.
Methodology
Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi vs Polymarket. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi vs Polymarket trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%206%2066%20A%2026%2026%200%200%201%2058%2066%22%20fill%3D%22%23E6B98D%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Ccircle%20cx%3D%2232%22%20cy%3D%2226%22%20r%3D%2222%22%20fill%3D%22%23F5CBA7%22%2F%3E%3Crect%20x%3D%2210%22%20y%3D%224%22%20width%3D%2244%22%20height%3D%2214%22%20rx%3D%227%22%20fill%3D%22%2322d3ee%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Crect%20x%3D%228%22%20%20y%3D%2218%22%20width%3D%228%22%20%20height%3D%2218%22%20rx%3D%224%22%20fill%3D%22%2322d3ee%22%20opacity%3D%220.7%22%2F%3E%3Crect%20x%3D%2248%22%20y%3D%2218%22%20width%3D%228%22%20%20height%3D%2218%22%20rx%3D%224%22%20fill%3D%22%2322d3ee%22%20opacity%3D%220.7%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E){kind=small}
and%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%206%2066%20A%2026%2026%200%200%201%2058%2066%22%20fill%3D%22%23E6B98D%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Ccircle%20cx%3D%2232%22%20cy%3D%2226%22%20r%3D%2222%22%20fill%3D%22%23F5CBA7%22%2F%3E%3Crect%20x%3D%2214%22%20y%3D%224%22%20width%3D%2236%22%20height%3D%228%22%20rx%3D%224%22%20fill%3D%22%2322d3ee%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E){kind=small}
Trade Minnesota vs. Washington on Kalshi vs Polymarket
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →