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What will Dow say during their next earnings call?

Comparison of odds and platforms for "What will Dow say during their next earnings call?" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Kalshi vs Polymarket.

Quarter 10+ times 100% Demand 10+ times 100% Margin 5+ times 100% China 100% Volume: $106K Liquidity: $8K Closes: 23 Jul 2026
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What will Dow say during their next earnings call?

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Quarter 10+ times100%
Demand 10+ times100%
Margin 5+ times100%
China100%
Capacity100%
Packaging100%
Infrastructure100%
Win100%
Carbon 5+ times18%
Income 10+ times0%
Fiscal 10+ times0%
Profit 10+ times0%
Revenue 10+ times0%
Iran0%
Trump0%
Monopoly0%
Surge0%
AI / Artificial Intelligence0%
Lawsuit0%
-No Qualifying Event-0%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for What will Dow say during their next earnings call?. This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of Dow currently scheduled to take place on July 23, 2026 at 9 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentione…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi vs Polymarket, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi vs Polymarket. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi vs Polymarket trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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