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LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season

How the prediction-market book is pricing "LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Game Handicap: LLL (-1.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+1.5) 100% Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? 100% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? 100% Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? 90% Volume: $656K Liquidity: $926K Closes: 2 Aug 2026
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LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game Handicap: LLL (-1.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+1.5)100%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?52%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
First Blood in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 2?50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor10%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon10%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors10%
Odd/Even Total Kills10%
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?10%
Game 1 Winner0%
Game 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Game Handicap: FXW7 (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5)0%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of lol: fluxo w7m vs loud (bo3) - cblol regular season. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the LoL match between Fluxo W7M and LOUD in the CBLOL Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 2 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Fluxo W7M"…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi vs Polymarket, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi vs Polymarket. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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