LoL: The Bandits vs ZennIT (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular Season

Platform comparison

Market context

The Bandits face ZennIT in a Road Of Legends Regular Season best-of-three, and the market is already priced as if the favourite has effectively been confirmed: the crowd-implied probability is **100% YES** for The Bandits, while Bo3’s pre-match card showed The Bandits at **1.75** and ZennIT at **3.3**, implying a materially less extreme gap at the sportsbook level.[1] That divergence matters because it suggests the prediction market is either reflecting late information, shallow liquidity, or a pricing error rather than a normal pre-series view.

For context, a 100% market price is often only stable when the event is resolved, abandoned, or the contract has become informationally one-sided; in live esports markets, that kind of certainty is more typical after a result is known than before a Bo3 starts. Comparable League of Legends markets usually reprice quickly on official roster announcements, match postponements, or forfeiture risk, because those outcomes can change settlement even if the teams never play the full series. Here, traders should watch whether the fixture actually begins on schedule, whether either side posts an official line-up change, and whether the series is completed within the contract’s settlement window, since a cancellation, tie, or long delay would force a 50-50 outcome under the rules.[1]

Sources: 1

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi vs Polymarket, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi vs Polymarket. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.