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Counter-Strike: M80 vs Luminosity (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffs

Live odds for "Counter-Strike: M80 vs Luminosity (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffs" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

Match Winner 53% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 51% Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 51% Map 1 Winner 50% Volume: $136K Liquidity: $60K Closes: 13 Sept 2026
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Counter-Strike: M80 vs Luminosity (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
53% 47% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
53% 47% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner53%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.551%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.551%
Map 1 Winner50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Winner49%
O/U 2.5 Games47%
Map Handicap: M80 (-1.5) vs Luminosity (+1.5)23%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, counter-strike: m80 vs luminosity (bo3) - roman imperium cup playoffs stands at 53% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket final match between M80 and Luminosity in the Roman Imperium Cup Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 6:00…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi vs Polymarket, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi vs Polymarket. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi vs Polymarket trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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Trade Counter-Strike: M80 vs Luminosity (BO3) - Roman Impe… on Kalshi vs Polymarket

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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