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Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO5) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Playoffs

Five-platform snapshot of "Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO5) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Playoffs" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

O/U 3.5 Games 73% Map 1 Winner 54% Map 3 Winner 53% Match Winner 51% Volume: $290K Liquidity: $420K Closes: 13 Sept 2026
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Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO5) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 73% 27% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 73% 27% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 3.5 Games73%
Map 1 Winner54%
Map 3 Winner53%
Match Winner51%
Map 4 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.551%
Map 4 Rounds Handicap: Legacy (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5)51%
Map 2 Winner50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 5 Rounds Handicap: Legacy (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5)50%
Map 5 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-3.5) vs Legacy (+3.5)50%
Map 4 Winner49%
O/U 4.5 Games36%
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)35%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Legacy (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5)33%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Legacy (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5)32%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Legacy (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5)31%
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)30%
Map Handicap: G2 (-2.5) vs Legacy (+2.5)17%
Map Handicap: LGC (-2.5) vs G2 (+2.5)11%

Market context

Market consensus: 73% chance of counter-strike: g2 vs legacy (bo5) - fissure playground playoffs. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Grand final match between G2 and Legacy in the FISSURE PLAYGROUND Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. This…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi vs Polymarket, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi vs Polymarket. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Jordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction ReporterandChris ReedChris ReedPolitical Forecasting Editor

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