Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Barranquilla: Vendula Valdmannova vs Carol Young Suh Lee Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Barranquilla: Vendula Valdmannova vs Carol Young Suh Lee Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Barranquilla: Vendula Valdmannova vs Carol Young Suh Lee Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Barranquilla: Vendula Valdmannova vs Carol Young Suh Lee Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Barranquilla: Vendula Valdmannova vs Carol Young Suh Lee Match O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| Barranquilla: Vendula Valdmannova vs Carol Young Suh Lee Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% |
| Barranquilla: Vendula Valdmannova vs Carol Young Suh Lee Game Spread +/-1.5 | 100% |
| Barranquilla: Vendula Valdmannova vs Carol Young Suh Lee | 0% |
| Barranquilla: Vendula Valdmannova vs Carol Young Suh Lee Set 1 Winner | 0% |
| Barranquilla: Vendula Valdmannova vs Carol Young Suh Lee Set 2 Winner | 0% |
| Barranquilla: Vendula Valdmannova vs Carol Young Suh Lee Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Barranquilla: Vendula Valdmannova vs Carol Young Suh Lee Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Barranquilla: Vendula Valdmannova vs Carol Young Suh Lee Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Barranquilla: Vendula Valdmannova vs Carol Young Suh Lee Match O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| Barranquilla: Vendula Valdmannova vs Carol Young Suh Lee Match O/U 23.5 | 0% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, barranquilla: vendula valdmannova vs carol young suh lee stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Vendula Valdmannova and Carol Young Suh Lee in the Barranquilla, originally scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This marke…
Methodology
Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi vs Polymarket. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi vs Polymarket trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Barranquilla: Vendula Valdmannova vs Carol Young Suh… on Kalshi vs Polymarket
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