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US Open, Qualification WTA: Laura Samson vs Tamara Zidansek

How the prediction-market book is pricing "US Open, Qualification WTA: Laura Samson vs Tamara Zidansek" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

US Open, Qualification WTA: Laura Samson vs Tamara Zidansek Set 1 Winner 100% US Open, Qualification WTA: Laura Samson vs Tamara Zidansek Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% US Open, Qualification WTA: Laura Samson vs Tamara Zidansek Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% US Open, Qualification WTA: Laura Samson vs Tamara Zidansek Set 2 O/U 9.5 100% Volume: $204K Liquidity: $530K Closes: 1 Sept 2026
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US Open, Qualification WTA: Laura Samson vs Tamara Zidansek

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
US Open, Qualification WTA: Laura Samson vs Tamara Zidansek Set 1 Winner100%
US Open, Qualification WTA: Laura Samson vs Tamara Zidansek Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
US Open, Qualification WTA: Laura Samson vs Tamara Zidansek Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
US Open, Qualification WTA: Laura Samson vs Tamara Zidansek Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
US Open, Qualification WTA: Laura Samson vs Tamara Zidansek Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
US Open, Qualification WTA: Laura Samson vs Tamara Zidansek Set 1 O/U 10.5100%
US Open, Qualification WTA: Laura Samson vs Tamara Zidansek Match O/U 21.598%
US Open, Qualification WTA: Laura Samson vs Tamara Zidansek Total Sets: O/U 2.575%
US Open, Qualification WTA: Laura Samson vs Tamara Zidansek Match O/U 22.575%
US Open, Qualification WTA: Laura Samson vs Tamara Zidansek Match O/U 23.575%
Completed Match50%
US Open, Qualification WTA: Laura Samson vs Tamara Zidansek Game Spread +/-2.550%
US Open, Qualification WTA: Laura Samson vs Tamara Zidansek32%
US Open, Qualification WTA: Laura Samson vs Tamara Zidansek Set Handicap +/-1.54%
US Open, Qualification WTA: Laura Samson vs Tamara Zidansek Set Handicap +/-1.54%
US Open, Qualification WTA: Laura Samson vs Tamara Zidansek Set 2 Winner0%
US Open, Qualification WTA: Laura Samson vs Tamara Zidansek Set 2 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, us open, qualification wta: laura samson vs tamara zidansek stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Laura Samson and Tamara Zidansek in the US Open, Qualification WTA, originally scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This mar…

Methodology

We track US Open, Qualification WTA: Laura Samson vs Tamara Zidansek across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi vs Polymarket. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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Related Topics

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