Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| ITF W50 Kursumlijska Banja Women: Anja Stankovic vs Ikumi Yamazaki | 100% |
| ITF W50 Kursumlijska Banja Women: Anja Stankovic vs Ikumi Yamazaki Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| ITF W50 Kursumlijska Banja Women: Anja Stankovic vs Ikumi Yamazaki Set 2 Winner | 100% |
| ITF W50 Kursumlijska Banja Women: Anja Stankovic vs Ikumi Yamazaki Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| ITF W50 Kursumlijska Banja Women: Anja Stankovic vs Ikumi Yamazaki Match O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| ITF W50 Kursumlijska Banja Women: Anja Stankovic vs Ikumi Yamazaki Match O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Completed Match | 50% |
| ITF W50 Kursumlijska Banja Women: Anja Stankovic vs Ikumi Yamazaki Match O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| ITF W50 Kursumlijska Banja Women: Anja Stankovic vs Ikumi Yamazaki Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| ITF W50 Kursumlijska Banja Women: Anja Stankovic vs Ikumi Yamazaki Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| ITF W50 Kursumlijska Banja Women: Anja Stankovic vs Ikumi Yamazaki Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| ITF W50 Kursumlijska Banja Women: Anja Stankovic vs Ikumi Yamazaki Set 1 Winner | 0% |
| ITF W50 Kursumlijska Banja Women: Anja Stankovic vs Ikumi Yamazaki Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| ITF W50 Kursumlijska Banja Women: Anja Stankovic vs Ikumi Yamazaki Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| ITF W50 Kursumlijska Banja Women: Anja Stankovic vs Ikumi Yamazaki Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| ITF W50 Kursumlijska Banja Women: Anja Stankovic vs Ikumi Yamazaki Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to itf w50 kursumlijska banja women: anja stankovic vs ikumi yamazaki. This market refers to the tennis match between Anja Stankovic and Ikumi Yamazaki in the ITF W50 Kursumlijska Banja Women, originally scheduled for August 26, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resol…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi vs Polymarket, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi vs Polymarket. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi vs Polymarket trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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