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ITF Chacabuco: Giorgia Pedone vs Lucciana Perez Alarcon

How the prediction-market book is pricing "ITF Chacabuco: Giorgia Pedone vs Lucciana Perez Alarcon" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

ITF Chacabuco: Giorgia Pedone vs Lucciana Perez Alarcon 100% Completed Match 100% ITF Chacabuco: Giorgia Pedone vs Lucciana Perez Alarcon Total Sets: O/U 2.5 100% ITF Chacabuco: Giorgia Pedone vs Lucciana Perez Alarcon Set 1 Winner 100% Volume: $148K Liquidity: $362K Closes: 15 Aug 2026
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ITF Chacabuco: Giorgia Pedone vs Lucciana Perez Alarcon

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
ITF Chacabuco: Giorgia Pedone vs Lucciana Perez Alarcon100%
Completed Match100%
ITF Chacabuco: Giorgia Pedone vs Lucciana Perez Alarcon Total Sets: O/U 2.5100%
ITF Chacabuco: Giorgia Pedone vs Lucciana Perez Alarcon Set 1 Winner100%
ITF Chacabuco: Giorgia Pedone vs Lucciana Perez Alarcon Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
ITF Chacabuco: Giorgia Pedone vs Lucciana Perez Alarcon Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
ITF Chacabuco: Giorgia Pedone vs Lucciana Perez Alarcon Match O/U 21.5100%
ITF Chacabuco: Giorgia Pedone vs Lucciana Perez Alarcon Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
ITF Chacabuco: Giorgia Pedone vs Lucciana Perez Alarcon Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
ITF Chacabuco: Giorgia Pedone vs Lucciana Perez Alarcon Match O/U 22.5100%
ITF Chacabuco: Giorgia Pedone vs Lucciana Perez Alarcon Set 1 O/U 10.5100%
ITF Chacabuco: Giorgia Pedone vs Lucciana Perez Alarcon Match O/U 23.5100%
ITF Chacabuco: Giorgia Pedone vs Lucciana Perez Alarcon Set Handicap +/-1.51%
ITF Chacabuco: Giorgia Pedone vs Lucciana Perez Alarcon Set 2 Winner0%
ITF Chacabuco: Giorgia Pedone vs Lucciana Perez Alarcon Set 2 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to itf chacabuco: giorgia pedone vs lucciana perez alarcon. This market refers to the tennis match between Giorgia Pedone and Lucciana Perez Alarcon in the ITF Women Chacabuco, originally scheduled for August 8, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi vs Polymarket, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi vs Polymarket. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
and

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Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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