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Japan Open Tennis Championships: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tommy Paul

Five-platform snapshot of "Japan Open Tennis Championships: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tommy Paul" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Japan Open Tennis Championships: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tommy Paul 100% Completed Match 100% Japan Open Tennis Championships: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tommy Paul Set 1 Winner 100% Japan Open Tennis Championships: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tommy Paul Set 2 Winner 100% Volume: $249K Closes: 7 Oct 2026
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Japan Open Tennis Championships: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tommy Paul

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tommy Paul100%
Completed Match100%
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tommy Paul Set 1 Winner100%
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tommy Paul Set 2 Winner100%
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tommy Paul Total Sets: O/U 2.50%
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tommy Paul Set 1 O/U 8.50%
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tommy Paul Set 1 O/U 9.50%
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tommy Paul Set 1 O/U 10.50%
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tommy Paul Set 2 O/U 8.50%
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tommy Paul Set 2 O/U 9.50%
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tommy Paul Set 2 O/U 10.50%
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tommy Paul Match O/U 21.50%
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tommy Paul Match O/U 22.50%
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tommy Paul Match O/U 23.50%
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tommy Paul Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tommy Paul Game Spread +/-3.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to japan open tennis championships: alejandro tabilo vs tommy paul. This market refers to the tennis match between Alejandro Tabilo and Tommy Paul in the Japan Open Tennis Championships, originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resol…

Methodology

This page reviews Japan Open Tennis Championships: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tommy Paul across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi vs Polymarket, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi vs Polymarket. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi vs Polymarket trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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Related Topics

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