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San Diego 2: Timo Legout vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes

Five-platform snapshot of "San Diego 2: Timo Legout vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

San Diego 2: Timo Legout vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes Set 1 Winner 100% San Diego 2: Timo Legout vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes Total Sets: O/U 2.5 100% San Diego 2: Timo Legout vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% San Diego 2: Timo Legout vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes Set 1 O/U 9.5 100% Volume: $365K Liquidity: $66K Closes: 3 Oct 2026
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San Diego 2: Timo Legout vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
San Diego 2: Timo Legout vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes Set 1 Winner100%
San Diego 2: Timo Legout vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes Total Sets: O/U 2.5100%
San Diego 2: Timo Legout vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
San Diego 2: Timo Legout vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
San Diego 2: Timo Legout vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes Set 1 O/U 10.5100%
San Diego 2: Timo Legout vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
San Diego 2: Timo Legout vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
San Diego 2: Timo Legout vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes Set 2 O/U 10.5100%
San Diego 2: Timo Legout vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes Match O/U 21.5100%
San Diego 2: Timo Legout vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes Match O/U 22.5100%
San Diego 2: Timo Legout vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes Match O/U 23.5100%
San Diego 2: Timo Legout vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes67%
Completed Match50%
San Diego 2: Timo Legout vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes Game Spread +/-3.51%
San Diego 2: Timo Legout vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes Set 2 Winner0%
San Diego 2: Timo Legout vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes Set Handicap +/-1.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to san diego 2: timo legout vs igor ribeiro marcondes. This market refers to the tennis match between Timo Legout and Igor Ribeiro Marcondes in the San Diego 2, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Timo L…

Methodology

This page reviews San Diego 2: Timo Legout vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi vs Polymarket, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi vs Polymarket. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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