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Seattle Storm vs. Washington Mystics

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Seattle Storm vs. Washington Mystics" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Spread -3.5 100% O/U 160.5 100% O/U 159.5 100% Spread -4.5 100% Volume: $369K Liquidity: $1.4M Closes: 12 Jul 2026
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Seattle Storm vs. Washington Mystics

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Spread -3.5100%
O/U 160.5100%
O/U 159.5100%
Spread -4.5100%
O/U 161.5100%
O/U 162.5100%
Sonia Citron: Points O/U 16.591%
Natisha Hiedeman: Points O/U 14.591%
Shakira Austin: Points O/U 13.591%
Kiki Iriafen: Rebounds O/U 8.591%
Dominique Malonga: Rebounds O/U 8.591%
Awa Fam: Rebounds O/U 5.591%
Shakira Austin: Points O/U 12.591%
Kiki Iriafen: Rebounds O/U 9.591%
Sonia Citron: Rebounds O/U 3.550%
Flau'jae Johnson: Assists O/U 2.550%
Dominique Malonga: Assists O/U 1.550%
Dominique Malonga: Points O/U 16.510%
Kiki Iriafen: Points O/U 14.510%
Awa Fam: Points O/U 11.510%
Shakira Austin: Rebounds O/U 8.510%
Natisha Hiedeman: Assists O/U 4.510%
Sonia Citron: Assists O/U 3.510%
Seattle Storm vs. Washington Mystics0%
Spread -5.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to seattle storm vs. washington mystics. In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for July 12 at 3:00PM ET: If the Seattle Storm win, the market will resolve to "Seattle Storm". If the Washington Mystics win, the market will resolve to "Washingt…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Spread -3.5 at 100% for "Seattle Storm vs. Washington Mystics".

Spread -3.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $369K.

Methodology

This page reviews Seattle Storm vs. Washington Mystics across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi vs Polymarket, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi vs Polymarket trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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