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Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm 81% O/U 173.5 63% Kayla McBride: Points O/U 18.5 61% O/U 174.5 60% Volume: $73K Liquidity: $142K Closes: 22 Jul 2026
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Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
81% 19% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
81% 19% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm81%
O/U 173.563%
Kayla McBride: Points O/U 18.561%
O/U 174.560%
Olivia Miles: Points O/U 18.560%
O/U 176.555%
Spread -9.554%
O/U 177.553%
Natasha Howard: Assists O/U 2.553%
Natasha Howard: Rebounds O/U 7.553%
Dominique Malonga: Assists O/U 1.551%
Natasha Howard: Points O/U 15.550%
Natasha Howard: Points O/U 14.550%
Spread -10.550%
Dominique Malonga: Points O/U 16.549%
Awa Fam: Points O/U 10.549%
Courtney Williams: Rebounds O/U 4.549%
Kayla McBride: Points O/U 19.549%
Courtney Williams: Points O/U 15.548%
Olivia Miles: Rebounds O/U 4.548%
Awa Fam: Assists O/U 2.548%
O/U 179.547%
Dominique Malonga: Rebounds O/U 9.546%
Natasha Howard: Rebounds O/U 8.546%
Kayla McBride: Assists O/U 2.546%
Kayla McBride: Points O/U 17.545%
Awa Fam: Rebounds O/U 6.544%
Kayla McBride: Rebounds O/U 3.544%
Olivia Miles: Assists O/U 6.544%
Courtney Williams: Assists O/U 4.538%
Natasha Howard: Rebounds O/U 6.538%
Kayla McBride: Rebounds O/U 2.538%
Awa Fam: Rebounds O/U 5.536%
Olivia Miles: Points O/U 17.534%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 81% probability to minnesota lynx vs. seattle storm. In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for July 22 at 3:00PM ET: If the Minnesota Lynx win, the market will resolve to "Minnesota Lynx". If the Seattle Storm win, the market will resolve to "Seattle Sto…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm at 81% for "Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm".

Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm 81% Other 19%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $73K.

Methodology

We track Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi vs Polymarket trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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Related Topics

Sports