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Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Kalshi vs Polymarket.

Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces 100% Spread -1.5 100% A'ja Wilson: Points O/U 25.5 100% Olivia Miles: Points O/U 19.5 100% Volume: $396K Closes: 16 Aug 2026
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Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces100%
Spread -1.5100%
A'ja Wilson: Points O/U 25.5100%
Olivia Miles: Points O/U 19.5100%
Natasha Howard: Points O/U 11.5100%
Natasha Howard: Rebounds O/U 5.5100%
Kayla McBride: Rebounds O/U 2.5100%
Olivia Miles: Assists O/U 7.5100%
Spread -2.5100%
Natasha Howard: Points O/U 12.5100%
Natasha Howard: Rebounds O/U 6.5100%
Olivia Miles: Points O/U 20.5100%
Olivia Miles: Assists O/U 6.5100%
O/U 182.50%
Napheesa Collier: Points O/U 19.50%
Kayla McBride: Points O/U 16.50%
Courtney Williams: Points O/U 12.50%
A'ja Wilson: Rebounds O/U 9.50%
Napheesa Collier: Rebounds O/U 7.50%
Olivia Miles: Rebounds O/U 4.50%
Courtney Williams: Rebounds O/U 4.50%
Courtney Williams: Assists O/U 3.50%
A'ja Wilson: Assists O/U 3.50%
Napheesa Collier: Assists O/U 2.50%
Natasha Howard: Assists O/U 2.50%
Kayla McBride: Assists O/U 1.50%
O/U 183.50%
Natasha Howard: Assists O/U 3.50%
Courtney Williams: Assists O/U 4.50%
Kayla McBride: Points O/U 15.50%
O/U 181.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to minnesota lynx vs. las vegas aces. In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for August 15 at 8:00PM ET: If the Minnesota Lynx win, the market will resolve to "Minnesota Lynx". If the Las Vegas Aces win, the market will resolve to "Las Vega…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces at 100% for "Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces".

Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $396K.

Methodology

We track Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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