Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
87% | 13% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
87% | 13% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Veronica Burton: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 87% |
| Azurá Stevens: Points O/U 10.5 | 51% |
| Kamilla Cardoso: Points O/U 14.5 | 51% |
| Kamilla Cardoso: Points O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Kamilla Cardoso: Rebounds O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Kamilla Cardoso: Assists O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Sydney Taylor: Points O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Veronica Burton: Points O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Natasha Cloud: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Azurá Stevens: Rebounds O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Natasha Cloud: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Veronica Burton: Assists O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Natasha Cloud: Assists O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Natasha Cloud: Points O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Courtney Vandersloot: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Courtney Vandersloot: Assists O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Azurá Stevens: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Gabby Williams: Points O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Gabby Williams: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Gabby Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 46% |
| Gabby Williams: Assists O/U 2.5 | 46% |
| Golden State Valkyries vs. Chicago Sky | 32% |
| O/U 162.5 | 14% |
| O/U 161.5 | 14% |
| Gabby Williams: Points O/U 14.5 | 13% |
| Spread -5.5 | 13% |
| O/U 163.5 | 12% |
| Spread -6.5 | 11% |
| Veronica Burton: Assists O/U 5.5 | 9% |
Market context
The Golden State Valkyries vs. Chicago Sky prediction market currently prices this outcome at 87% YES. In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for August 21 at 7:30PM ET: If the Golden State Valkyries win, the market will resolve to "Golden State Valkyries". If the Chicago Sky win, the market will resolve…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $296K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi vs Polymarket, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi vs Polymarket. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi vs Polymarket trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade Golden State Valkyries vs. Chicago Sky on Kalshi vs Polymarket
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