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Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+1.5) 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-2.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+2.5) 100% Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-3.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+3.5) 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-3.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+3.5) 100% Volume: $207K Liquidity: $329K Closes: 16 Aug 2026
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Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+1.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-2.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+2.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-3.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+3.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-3.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+3.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-4.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+4.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-6.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+6.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-5.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+5.5)100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.591%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-2.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+2.5)90%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-4.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+4.5)90%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-5.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+5.5)90%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-6.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+6.5)90%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.590%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.555%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.551%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.551%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-2.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-3.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+3.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map Handicap: KRÜ (-1.5) vs MIBR (+1.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.510%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.510%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.510%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.510%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-7.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+7.5)10%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-8.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+8.5)10%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-2.5) vs MIBR (+2.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-3.5) vs MIBR (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.50%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In. This market refers to the Valorant Upper bracket round 2 match between KRÜ Esports and MIBR in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In, initially scheduled for August 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET. This market wil…

Methodology

We track Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi vs Polymarket. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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