Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-3.5) vs GIANTX (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-5.5) vs GIANTX (+5.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-4.5) vs GIANTX (+4.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-5.5) vs GIANTX (+5.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5 | 99% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-3.5) vs GIANTX (+3.5) | 90% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 90% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5) | 90% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-4.5) vs GIANTX (+4.5) | 90% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 90% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5 | 90% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-6.5) vs GIANTX (+6.5) | 90% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 53% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.5 | 53% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 51% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-3.5) vs GIANTX (+3.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5) | 26% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 10% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 10% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 10% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 10% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-6.5) vs GIANTX (+6.5) | 10% |
| Map Handicap: GX (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5) | 10% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 1% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 1% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 1% |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% |
| Match Winner | 0% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-7.5) vs GIANTX (+7.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of valorant: giantx vs team liquid (bo3) - vct emea group omega. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Valorant match between GIANTX and Team Liquid in the VCT EMEA Group Omega, initially scheduled for July 29 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "GI…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi vs Polymarket, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi vs Polymarket. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi vs Polymarket trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade Valorant: GIANTX vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Gro… on Kalshi vs Polymarket
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