Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-3.5) vs GIANTX (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-3.5) vs GIANTX (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-4.5) vs GIANTX (+4.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-4.5) vs GIANTX (+4.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-5.5) vs GIANTX (+5.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-7.5) vs GIANTX (+7.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-6.5) vs GIANTX (+6.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-8.5) vs GIANTX (+8.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5 | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 50% |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% |
| Match Winner | 0% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-5.5) vs GIANTX (+5.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-6.5) vs GIANTX (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: GIANTX (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5 | 0% |
| Map Handicap: GX (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5) | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of valorant: giantx vs karmine corp (bo3) - vct emea group omega. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Valorant match between GIANTX and Karmine Corp in the VCT EMEA Group Omega, initially scheduled for July 19 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "G…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi vs Polymarket, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi vs Polymarket trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade Valorant: GIANTX vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA Gr… on Kalshi vs Polymarket
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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