🎁 New traders: 100% Deposit Match up to $500 · 0% fees · instant USDC payoutsClaim it →
Skip to main content
HomeGuideCryptoMarketsBlogView on Polymarket →

Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffs" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Map 1 Winner 100% Map 2 Winner 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs NRG (+2.5) 100% Volume: $692K Liquidity: $1.1M Closes: 12 Jul 2026
Open live market →
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
Map 2 Winner100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs NRG (+2.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-4.5) vs NRG (+4.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-3.5) vs NRG (+3.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-3.5) vs NRG (+3.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs NRG (+2.5)100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-5.5) vs NRG (+5.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-6.5) vs NRG (+6.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-4.5) vs NRG (+4.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-5.5) vs NRG (+5.5)93%
Match Winner85%
Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5)68%
Map Handicap: 100T (-2.5) vs NRG (+2.5)56%
O/U 3.5 Games52%
Map 3 Winner50%
Map 4 Winner50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs 100 Thieves (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 4 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs 100 Thieves (+2.5)50%
Map 4 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 4 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 4 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 5 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 5 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 5 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 5 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs 100 Thieves (+2.5)50%
Map 4 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
O/U 4.5 Games36%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.51%
Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5)0%
Map Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs 100 Thieves (+2.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs 100 Thieves (+2.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs 100 Thieves (+2.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-4.5) vs 100 Thieves (+4.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-6.5) vs NRG (+6.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-7.5) vs NRG (+7.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-8.5) vs NRG (+8.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs NRG (+2.5)0%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffs. This market refers to the Valorant Grand final match between 100 Thieves and NRG in the Esports World Cup Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 12 at 9:45AM ET. This market will resolve to "100 Thie…

Methodology

We track Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffs across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi vs Polymarket. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

Trade Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG (BO5) - Esports World C… on Kalshi vs Polymarket

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

Open live market →