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Romania vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina - Total Corners

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Romania vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina - Total Corners" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Kalshi vs Polymarket.

Romania Corners: O/U 2.5 82% Bosnia and Herzegovina Corners: O/U 2.5 71% 2nd Half Total Corners: O/U 3.5 69% Romania Corners: O/U 3.5 67% Volume: $63K Liquidity: $45K Closes: 28 Sept 2026
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Romania vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina - Total Corners

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
82% 18% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
82% 18% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Romania Corners: O/U 2.582%
Bosnia and Herzegovina Corners: O/U 2.571%
2nd Half Total Corners: O/U 3.569%
Romania Corners: O/U 3.567%
Total Corners: O/U 7.564%
1st Half Total Corners: O/U 3.557%
Bosnia and Herzegovina Corners: O/U 3.553%
Total Corners: O/U 8.552%
2nd Half Total Corners: O/U 4.552%
Romania Corners: O/U 4.551%
Total Corners: Odd or Even50%
Team to Take First Corner50%
1st Half Total Corners: O/U 4.543%
Total Corners: O/U 9.541%
Bosnia and Herzegovina Corners: O/U 4.537%
Romania Corners: O/U 5.535%
2nd Half Total Corners: O/U 5.533%
Total Corners: O/U 10.528%
1st Half Total Corners: O/U 5.524%
Bosnia and Herzegovina Corners: O/U 5.523%
Total Corners: O/U 11.521%
Total Corners: O/U 12.514%
Total Corners: O/U 13.58%

Market context

Market consensus: 82% chance of romania vs. bosnia and herzegovina - total corners. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. Total corners markets for the UEFA Nations League game between Romania and Bosnia and Herzegovina, scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET.

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi vs Polymarket. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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