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England vs. Spain - Exact Score

How the prediction-market book is pricing "England vs. Spain - Exact Score" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Any Other Score 44% England 1 - 2 Spain 13% England 2 - 2 Spain 13% England 1 - 1 Spain 11% Volume: $176K Liquidity: $69K Closes: 26 Sept 2026
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England vs. Spain - Exact Score

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
44% 56% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
44% 56% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Any Other Score44%
England 1 - 2 Spain13%
England 2 - 2 Spain13%
England 1 - 1 Spain11%
England 0 - 3 Spain11%
England 0 - 2 Spain10%
England 1 - 3 Spain10%
England 2 - 3 Spain9%
England 2 - 1 Spain7%
England 3 - 3 Spain5%
England 0 - 1 Spain4%
England 3 - 1 Spain4%
England 3 - 2 Spain2%
England 0 - 0 Spain0%
England 1 - 0 Spain0%
England 2 - 0 Spain0%
England 3 - 0 Spain0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 44% probability to england vs. spain - exact score. In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between England and Spain, scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the England vs. Spain match ori…

Methodology

We track England vs. Spain - Exact Score across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi vs Polymarket. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
and

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