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UFC Fight Night: Valesca Machado vs. Melissa Amaya (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)

Five-platform snapshot of "UFC Fight Night: Valesca Machado vs. Melissa Amaya (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Valesca Machado vs. Melissa Amaya 100% Fight won by KO/TKO? 100% Machado to win by KO/TKO? 100% O/U 0.5 Rounds 100% Volume: $185K Closes: 27 Sept 2026
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UFC Fight Night: Valesca Machado vs. Melissa Amaya (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Valesca Machado vs. Melissa Amaya100%
Fight won by KO/TKO?100%
Machado to win by KO/TKO?100%
O/U 0.5 Rounds100%
O/U 1.5 Rounds100%
Ends before Round 3?100%
Machado in Round 2100%
Fight to Go the Distance?0%
Amaya to win by KO/TKO?0%
Fight won by submission?0%
O/U 2.5 Rounds0%
Fight won by decision?0%
Ends before Round 2?0%
Machado in Round 10%
Machado in Round 30%
Amaya in Round 10%
Amaya in Round 20%
Amaya in Round 30%
Decision or Draw0%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for UFC Fight Night: Valesca Machado vs. Melissa Amaya (Women's Strawweight, Main Card). This market will resolve to "Valesca Machado" if Valesca Machado is officially declared the winner of the fight against Melissa Amaya at UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos, scheduled for Septembe…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Valesca Machado vs. Melissa Amaya at 100% for "UFC Fight Night: Valesca Machado vs. Melissa Amaya (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)".

Valesca Machado vs. Melissa Amaya 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $185K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi vs Polymarket, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi vs Polymarket. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi vs Polymarket trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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Trade UFC Fight Night: Valesca Machado vs. Melissa Amaya (… on Kalshi vs Polymarket

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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Related Topics

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