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NEC vs. Olympiakós SFP - More Markets

Five-platform snapshot of "NEC vs. Olympiakós SFP - More Markets" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

O/U 0.5 88% 2nd Half O/U 0.5 81% Olympiakós SFP O/U 0.5 79% 1st Half O/U 0.5 69% Volume: $166K Liquidity: $272K Closes: 11 Aug 2026
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NEC vs. Olympiakós SFP - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
88% 12% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
88% 12% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.588%
2nd Half O/U 0.581%
Olympiakós SFP O/U 0.579%
1st Half O/U 0.569%
NEC O/U 0.569%
2nd Half O/U 1.566%
O/U 1.565%
NEC 1st Half O/U 0.563%
Olympiakós SFP 1st Half O/U 0.559%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half59%
Team to Advance55%
NEC O/U 1.554%
NEC 1st Half O/U 1.550%
2nd Half O/U 2.550%
NEC 2nd Half O/U 0.550%
NEC 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
Olympiakós SFP 2nd Half O/U 0.550%
Olympiakós SFP 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
Both Teams to Score46%
Both Teams to Score in First Half40%
NEC O/U 2.540%
Olympiakós SFP 1st Half O/U 1.537%
O/U 2.535%
Olympiakós SFP O/U 2.534%
Olympiakós SFP O/U 1.525%
NEC (-2.5)19%
O/U 5.519%
1st Half O/U 2.519%
1st Half O/U 1.518%
O/U 3.517%
NEC (-1.5)16%
Olympiakós SFP (-1.5)8%
O/U 4.58%
Olympiakós SFP (-2.5)3%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 88% probability to nec vs. olympiakós sfp - more markets. More markets for the UEFA Champions League game, scheduled for August 11 at 1:30 PM ET.

Methodology

We track NEC vs. Olympiakós SFP - More Markets across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi vs Polymarket trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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