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Larne FC vs. FK Crvena zvezda - More Markets

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Larne FC vs. FK Crvena zvezda - More Markets" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

FK Crvena zvezda (-1.5) 100% O/U 0.5 100% O/U 1.5 100% O/U 2.5 100% Volume: $236K Liquidity: $1.3M Closes: 21 Jul 2026
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Larne FC vs. FK Crvena zvezda - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
FK Crvena zvezda (-1.5)100%
O/U 0.5100%
O/U 1.5100%
O/U 2.5100%
O/U 3.5100%
1st Half O/U 0.5100%
FK Crvena zvezda O/U 0.5100%
FK Crvena zvezda O/U 1.5100%
FK Crvena zvezda O/U 2.5100%
FK Crvena zvezda 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 1.5100%
FK Crvena zvezda 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
FK Crvena zvezda 2nd Half O/U 1.5100%
FK Crvena zvezda (-2.5)99%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half50%
2nd Half O/U 2.550%
Larne FC 2nd Half O/U 0.550%
Larne FC 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
Larne FC O/U 1.537%
Larne FC O/U 2.529%
O/U 4.519%
Larne FC O/U 0.59%
Both Teams to Score4%
O/U 5.51%
Larne FC (-1.5)0%
Larne FC (-2.5)0%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
1st Half O/U 1.50%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
Larne FC 1st Half O/U 0.50%
Larne FC 1st Half O/U 1.50%
FK Crvena zvezda 1st Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

Larne FC vs. FK Crvena zvezda - More Markets — current market-implied probability: 100%. More markets for the UEFA Champions League game, scheduled for July 21 at 3:00 PM ET.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi vs Polymarket, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi vs Polymarket trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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