Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
94% | 6% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
94% | 6% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 174.5 | 94% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 90% |
| Matthew Golden: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 89% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 89% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 249.5 | 86% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 86% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 85% |
| Christian Watson: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 85% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 83% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Yards O/U 199.5 | 82% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5 | 82% |
| Javonte Williams: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 82% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 82% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 274.5 | 80% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 299.5 | 80% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Attempts O/U 31.5 | 80% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 80% |
| Christian Watson: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 79% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 78% |
| Matthew Golden: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 78% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 77% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 77% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 76% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Completions O/U 21.5 | 74% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 74% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 73% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Yards O/U 224.5 | 72% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 71% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 71% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 70% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Rushing Yards O/U 9.5 | 69% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Completions O/U 23.5 | 65% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 19.5 | 65% |
| Javonte Williams: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 65% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 64% |
| Christian Watson: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 61% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 60% |
| Matthew Golden: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 60% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receptions O/U 6.5 | 59% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 57% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 324.5 | 56% |
| Javonte Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 39.5 | 56% |
| Matthew Golden: Anytime Touchdown | 56% |
| Matthew Golden: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 56% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 56% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Yards O/U 249.5 | 55% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Rushing Yards O/U 14.5 | 55% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5 | 53% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Javonte Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 51% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 51% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 51% |
| Christian Watson: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| Matthew Golden: Longest Reception O/U 24.5 | 51% |
| Javonte Williams: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Yards O/U 174.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 199.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 224.5 | 50% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 50% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 99.5 | 50% |
| George Pickens: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| George Pickens: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| George Pickens: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 50% |
| George Pickens: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| George Pickens: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 50% |
| George Pickens: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 50% |
| George Pickens: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 50% |
| George Pickens: Receiving Yards O/U 99.5 | 50% |
| George Pickens: Receiving Yards O/U 109.5 | 50% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 50% |
| George Pickens: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| George Pickens: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| George Pickens: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| George Pickens: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| George Pickens: Receptions O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receptions O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Dak Prescott: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| George Pickens: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| George Pickens: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Jake Ferguson: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Jordan Love: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Ryan Flournoy: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| George Pickens: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Attempts O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Attempts O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Attempts O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Attempts O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Attempts O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Completions O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Completions O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Completions O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Completions O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| Christian Watson: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Dak Prescott: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| George Pickens: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| Jake Ferguson: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| Javonte Williams: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| Jordan Love: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| George Pickens: Receptions O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| George Pickens: Receptions O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Javonte Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Javonte Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Javonte Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Javonte Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Longest Reception O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Bo Melton: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Brevyn Spann-Ford: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| J. Michael Sturdivant: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jonathan Mingo: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jonathan Mingo: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Jonnu Smith: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jonnu Smith: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Josh Whyle: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Kaleb Johnson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Kaleb Johnson: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| KaVontae Turpin: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Mark Redman: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Tyler Goodson: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Brevyn Spann-Ford: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| J. Michael Sturdivant: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Jonathan Mingo: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| Jonnu Smith: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Josh Whyle: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Kaleb Johnson: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| KaVontae Turpin: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| Luke Schoonmaker: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| Mark Redman: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Tyler Goodson: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Receiving Yards O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Receiving Yards O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Receiving Yards O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Rushing Yards O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Rushing Yards O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 49% |
| Javonte Williams: Anytime Touchdown | 48% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 47% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 47% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 47% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 349.5 | 45% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Rushing Yards O/U 19.5 | 45% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Yards O/U 274.5 | 44% |
| Javonte Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 49.5 | 42% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receptions O/U 7.5 | 42% |
| Matthew Golden: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 41% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 41% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 40% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receiving Yards O/U 99.5 | 40% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.5 | 39% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 109.5 | 39% |
| Javonte Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 14.5 | 39% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receiving Yards O/U 24.5 | 37% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Anytime Touchdown | 37% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 99.5 | 36% |
| Christian Watson: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 33% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 39.5 | 33% |
| Javonte Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 59.5 | 32% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Yards O/U 299.5 | 30% |
| Javonte Williams: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 30% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receptions O/U 8.5 | 29% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 374.5 | 28% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 28% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receiving Yards O/U 109.5 | 28% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Rushing Yards O/U 24.5 | 27% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 26% |
| Matthew Golden: Receptions O/U 6.5 | 26% |
| Christian Watson: Anytime Touchdown | 26% |
| Matthew Golden: 2+ Touchdowns | 26% |
| Luke Schoonmaker: Anytime Touchdown | 25% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receiving Yards O/U 119.5 | 24% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 24% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 23% |
| Christian Watson: Receptions O/U 6.5 | 23% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 23% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.5 | 22% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Anytime Touchdown | 22% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 49.5 | 22% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.5 | 20% |
| Javonte Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 79.5 | 20% |
| Jake Ferguson: Anytime Touchdown | 20% |
| Javonte Williams: 2+ Touchdowns | 20% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 59.5 | 20% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Yards O/U 324.5 | 19% |
| Javonte Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 69.5 | 19% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 19% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 19% |
| Javonte Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 24.5 | 19% |
| Javonte Williams: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 19% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receptions O/U 9.5 | 19% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Rushing Yards O/U 39.5 | 19% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Anytime Touchdown | 18% |
| Matthew Golden: Receptions O/U 7.5 | 18% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 17% |
| Dak Prescott: Anytime Touchdown | 16% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 69.5 | 16% |
| Javonte Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 89.5 | 15% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Yards O/U 349.5 | 14% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 14% |
| Jordan Love: Anytime Touchdown | 14% |
| Tyler Goodson: Anytime Touchdown | 14% |
| Javonte Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 99.5 | 12% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 79.5 | 12% |
| Matthew Golden: Receptions O/U 8.5 | 12% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Yards O/U 374.5 | 11% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.5 | 11% |
| Javonte Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 109.5 | 11% |
| Christian Watson: 2+ Touchdowns | 11% |
| KaVontae Turpin: Anytime Touchdown | 8% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 5% |
| CeeDee Lamb: 2+ Touchdowns | 5% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: 2+ Touchdowns | 3% |
Market context
The Cowboys vs. Packers - Player Props prediction market currently prices this outcome at 94% YES. Player prop markets for the NFL game between the Cowboys and Packers, scheduled for October 18 at 8:20 PM ET.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi vs Polymarket, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi vs Polymarket. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi vs Polymarket trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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