Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
74% | 26% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
74% | 26% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 220.5 | 74% |
| 1H O/U 111.5 | 71% |
| O/U 223.5 | 68% |
| O/U 226.5 | 62% |
| 1H O/U 115.5 | 61% |
| Ja Morant: Assists O/U 4.5 | 58% |
| O/U 229.5 | 56% |
| Spread -1.5 | 55% |
| Damian Lillard: Points O/U 18.5 | 54% |
| Dillon Brooks: Assists O/U 1.5 | 54% |
| Devin Booker: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 53% |
| O/U 231.5 | 52% |
| Devin Booker: Assists O/U 5.5 | 52% |
| Miles Bridges: Points O/U 14.5 | 52% |
| Spread -2.5 | 52% |
| Miles Bridges: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 51% |
| Team to Score First | 50% |
| Odd/Even Score | 50% |
| Devin Booker: Points O/U 24.5 | 49% |
| O/U 232.5 | 48% |
| Ja Morant: Points O/U 18.5 | 48% |
| 1H O/U 119.5 | 48% |
| Spread -3.5 | 47% |
| Jalen Green: Points O/U 19.5 | 47% |
| Dillon Brooks: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 47% |
| Donovan Clingan: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 47% |
| Toumani Camara: Assists O/U 1.5 | 47% |
| O/U 233.5 | 46% |
| Jalen Green: Assists O/U 3.5 | 46% |
| Toumani Camara: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 46% |
| Spread -4.5 | 44% |
| O/U 234.5 | 44% |
| 1H Moneyline | 44% |
| Suns vs. Trail Blazers | 43% |
| Dillon Brooks: Points O/U 18.5 | 42% |
| Damian Lillard: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 42% |
| O/U 235.5 | 41% |
| Khaman Maluach: Points O/U 9.5 | 40% |
| Collin Gillespie: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 40% |
| O/U 236.5 | 40% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 40% |
| Collin Gillespie: Assists O/U 3.5 | 39% |
| Spread -6.5 | 39% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 38% |
| O/U 237.5 | 37% |
| Collin Gillespie: Points O/U 11.5 | 37% |
| 1H O/U 123.5 | 37% |
| Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 4.5 | 36% |
| Spread -7.5 | 35% |
| Spread -3.5 | 35% |
| O/U 239.5 | 34% |
| Miles Bridges: Assists O/U 2.5 | 32% |
| Deni Avdija: Points O/U 22.5 | 32% |
| Spread -9.5 | 30% |
| Damian Lillard: Assists O/U 4.5 | 28% |
| O/U 242.5 | 28% |
| Donovan Clingan: Points O/U 10.5 | 27% |
| Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 6.5 | 27% |
| Spread -6.5 | 27% |
| Collin Gillespie: Assists O/U 4.5 | 26% |
| 1H O/U 127.5 | 25% |
| Khaman Maluach: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 23% |
| Spread -12.5 | 23% |
| O/U 245.5 | 23% |
| Jalen Green: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 21% |
| Spread -9.5 | 20% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 20% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 19% |
| O/U 248.5 | 18% |
| Spread -15.5 | 16% |
| Spread -18.5 | 12% |
Market context
The Suns vs. Trail Blazers prediction market currently prices this outcome at 74% YES. In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 21 at 10:00PM ET: If the Suns win, the market will resolve to "Suns". If the Trail Blazers win, the market will resolve to "Trail Blazers". If the game …
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $155K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi vs Polymarket, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi vs Polymarket. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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