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San Jose Earthquakes vs. Orlando City SC - More Markets

How the prediction-market book is pricing "San Jose Earthquakes vs. Orlando City SC - More Markets" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

O/U 0.5 100% O/U 1.5 100% 1st Half O/U 0.5 100% 1st Half O/U 1.5 100% Volume: $233K Liquidity: $912K Closes: 23 Jul 2026
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San Jose Earthquakes vs. Orlando City SC - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5100%
O/U 1.5100%
1st Half O/U 0.5100%
1st Half O/U 1.5100%
Orlando City SC O/U 0.5100%
Orlando City SC O/U 1.5100%
Orlando City SC 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
Orlando City SC 1st Half O/U 1.5100%
O/U 2.598%
Orlando City SC O/U 2.588%
O/U 3.580%
Both Teams to Score76%
San Jose Earthquakes O/U 0.575%
Orlando City SC (-1.5)67%
Orlando City SC (-2.5)60%
O/U 4.556%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half51%
2nd Half O/U 0.551%
San Jose Earthquakes 2nd Half O/U 0.551%
2nd Half O/U 1.550%
2nd Half O/U 2.550%
San Jose Earthquakes 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
Orlando City SC 2nd Half O/U 0.550%
Orlando City SC 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
San Jose Earthquakes O/U 2.548%
San Jose Earthquakes O/U 1.540%
O/U 5.526%
1st Half O/U 2.56%
San Jose Earthquakes (-2.5)5%
San Jose Earthquakes (-1.5)3%
San Jose Earthquakes 1st Half O/U 1.51%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
San Jose Earthquakes 1st Half O/U 0.50%

Market context

The San Jose Earthquakes vs. Orlando City SC - More Markets prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. More markets for the MLS game, scheduled for July 22 at 10:30 PM ET.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi vs Polymarket, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi vs Polymarket. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi vs Polymarket trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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