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Atlanta United FC vs. Inter Miami CF - More Markets

Five-platform snapshot of "Atlanta United FC vs. Inter Miami CF - More Markets" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

O/U 0.5 91% Inter Miami CF O/U 0.5 85% 2nd Half O/U 1.5 71% 2nd Half O/U 0.5 70% Volume: $144K Liquidity: $210K Closes: 17 Oct 2026
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Atlanta United FC vs. Inter Miami CF - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
91% 9% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
91% 9% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.591%
Inter Miami CF O/U 0.585%
2nd Half O/U 1.571%
2nd Half O/U 0.570%
O/U 1.566%
Atlanta United FC O/U 0.561%
2nd Half O/U 2.559%
Inter Miami CF 1st Half O/U 0.552%
Atlanta United FC (-4.5)50%
Atlanta United FC (-5.5)50%
Inter Miami CF (-5.5)50%
1st Half O/U 4.550%
Atlanta United FC 1st Half O/U 0.550%
Atlanta United FC 1st Half O/U 1.550%
Atlanta United FC 1st Half O/U 2.550%
Atlanta United FC 1st Half O/U 3.550%
Inter Miami CF 1st Half O/U 1.550%
Inter Miami CF 1st Half O/U 2.550%
Inter Miami CF 1st Half O/U 3.550%
2nd Half O/U 3.550%
2nd Half O/U 4.550%
Atlanta United FC 2nd Half O/U 0.550%
Atlanta United FC 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
Atlanta United FC 2nd Half O/U 2.550%
Atlanta United FC 2nd Half O/U 3.550%
Inter Miami CF 2nd Half O/U 0.550%
Inter Miami CF 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
Inter Miami CF 2nd Half O/U 3.550%
Atlanta United FC O/U 3.549%
Atlanta United FC O/U 5.549%
Atlanta United FC O/U 4.548%
Both Teams to Score45%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half43%
Inter Miami CF O/U 4.541%
O/U 2.539%
Inter Miami CF O/U 1.539%
1st Half O/U 0.528%
1st Half O/U 2.527%
1st Half O/U 3.527%
Inter Miami CF O/U 2.527%
Inter Miami CF 2nd Half O/U 2.523%
Atlanta United FC O/U 1.522%
Inter Miami CF (-1.5)21%
O/U 3.519%
Inter Miami CF O/U 3.514%
Inter Miami CF (-3.5)11%
Inter Miami CF (-2.5)8%
O/U 4.58%
Atlanta United FC (-1.5)7%
1st Half O/U 1.57%
O/U 5.55%
O/U 6.55%
Atlanta United FC O/U 2.54%
Both Teams to Score in First Half3%
Atlanta United FC (-2.5)2%
Atlanta United FC (-3.5)1%
Inter Miami CF (-4.5)1%
O/U 7.51%
Inter Miami CF O/U 5.51%
O/U 8.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 91% probability to atlanta united fc vs. inter miami cf - more markets. More markets for the MLS game, scheduled for October 17 at 7:30 PM ET.

Methodology

This page reviews Atlanta United FC vs. Inter Miami CF - More Markets across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi vs Polymarket, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi vs Polymarket trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Related Topics

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