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St. Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta Braves

Five-platform snapshot of "St. Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta Braves" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

O/U 8.5 54% 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 53% 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 52% 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 52% Volume: $471K Liquidity: $215K Closes: 7 Jul 2026
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St. Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta Braves

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
54% 46% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
54% 46% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 8.554%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.553%
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.552%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.552%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.550%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.550%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.550%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.550%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.550%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.550%
Extra Innings50%
O/U 6.550%
Spread -1.546%
O/U 7.544%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta Braves31%
O/U 9.523%
Spread -2.519%
NRFI0%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 54% YES probability for St. Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta Braves. In the upcoming MLB game between the St. Louis Cardinals and Atlanta Braves, scheduled for June 30 at 7:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "St. Louis Cardinals" if the St. Louis Cardinals win the g…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 8.5 at 54% for "St. Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta Braves".

O/U 8.5 54% Other 46%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $471K.

Methodology

This page reviews St. Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta Braves across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi vs Polymarket, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Related Topics

Sports