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Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 81% NRFI 72% 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 68% O/U 7.5 62% Volume: $348K Liquidity: $496K Closes: 2 Aug 2026
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Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
81% 19% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
81% 19% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.581%
NRFI72%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.568%
O/U 7.562%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets61%
O/U 8.552%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.551%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.551%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.550%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.549%
Spread -1.548%
O/U 9.542%
Spread -2.538%
Spread -1.525%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.523%
Spread -2.516%
Extra Innings10%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 81% probability to los angeles dodgers vs. new york mets. In the upcoming MLB game between the Los Angeles Dodgers and New York Mets, scheduled for July 26 at 1:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Dodgers" if the Los Angeles Dodgers win the ga…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 81% for "Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets".

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 81% Other 19%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $348K.

Methodology

We track Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi vs Polymarket. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi vs Polymarket trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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Related Topics

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