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Kansas City Royals vs. Toronto Blue Jays

Five-platform snapshot of "Kansas City Royals vs. Toronto Blue Jays" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 78% 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 65% O/U 7.5 59% 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 52% Volume: $113K Liquidity: $1.8M Closes: 2 Sept 2026
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Kansas City Royals vs. Toronto Blue Jays

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 78% 22% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 78% 22% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.578%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.565%
O/U 7.559%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.552%
O/U 8.550%
NRFI49%
Kansas City Royals vs. Toronto Blue Jays41%
Spread -1.541%
O/U 9.540%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.540%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.535%
Spread -1.531%
Spread -2.530%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.529%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.525%
Spread -2.522%
Extra Innings9%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 78% YES probability for Kansas City Royals vs. Toronto Blue Jays. In the upcoming MLB game between the Kansas City Royals and Toronto Blue Jays, scheduled for August 26 at 7:07PM ET: This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City Royals win the…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 78% for "Kansas City Royals vs. Toronto Blue Jays".

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 78% Other 22%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $113K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi vs Polymarket, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Jordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction ReporterandChris ReedChris ReedPolitical Forecasting Editor

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