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Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 77% 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 65% O/U 7.5 61% 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 55% Volume: $102K Liquidity: $2.5M Closes: 18 Aug 2026
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Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi vs Polymarket) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
77% 23% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
77% 23% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.577%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.565%
O/U 7.561%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.555%
O/U 8.552%
NRFI51%
Spread -1.549%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.542%
O/U 9.542%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.541%
Spread -2.537%
Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks35%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.529%
Spread -1.527%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.522%
Spread -2.520%
Extra Innings9%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, colorado rockies vs. arizona diamondbacks stands at 77% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming MLB game between the Colorado Rockies and Arizona Diamondbacks, scheduled for August 10 at 9:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Colorado Rockies" if the Colorad…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 77% for "Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks".

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 77% Other 23%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $102K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi vs Polymarket, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi vs Polymarket. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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Related Topics

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